10/9/2024
WT Staff
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October 9, 2024 updated 727 pm EDT
Milton sending tornadic supercells across South Florida, time running out for evacuation
Hurricane Milton Special Advisory Number 19
issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
5 pm CDT Wed Oct 09 2024
MILTON APPROACHING THE COAST OF WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS, AND FLOODING RAINS
EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Milton was located
near latitude 26.9 North, longitude 83.4 West. Milton is moving
toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the
east-northeast is expected on Thursday, followed by a turn toward
the east on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Milton
will make landfall near or just south of the Tampa Bay region this
evening, move across the central part of the Florida peninsula
overnight, and emerge off the east coast of Florida on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Milton is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Milton could still be a major hurricane when
it reaches the coast of west-central Florida this evening, and it
will remain a hurricane while it moves across central Florida
through Thursday. Milton is forecast to weaken over the western
Atlantic and become extratropical by Thursday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles
(405 km). A WeatherFlow site located in Egmont Channel (XEGM)
recently reported a sustained wind speed of 51 mph (82 km/h) with a
wind gust of 63 mph (102 km/h). A WeatherFlow site located on the
Sunshine Skyway Fishing Pier (XSKY) recently reported a sustained
wind speed of 47 mph (76 km/h) with a wind gust of 62 mph (100
km/h).
The minimum central pressure based on Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter data is 948 mb (28.00 inches).
Forecaster Berg
North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs June 1 to November 30.
More information on Hurricane Milton, including forecast impact to land, here.
Streamflow Situation from the USGS network of streamflow gauges in Ohio
A frost warning has been issued for parts of the Lake Erie drainage basin including Lorain-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Southern Erie-Crawford Counties for tonight, get the sensitive plants indoors and take shelter if staying outside overnight.
Streamflows drop below normal to much below seasonal normal with two low ratings midweek. Tiffin River no longer has the record low flow, instead it is Cuyahoga River down to 3rd percentile near Newburgh Heights. Mill Creek continues to run at a record low flow near Coshocton in the Muskingum River basin, this is the lowest Oct 9 on record in the last 87 years. See brown tag on the map to the right for flow volume and depth details.
Tiffin River remains in severe hydrologic drought in the northwest with adjacent to the west St Josephs River watershed joining the Lower Maumee River watershed in a below normal status. South of the state divide, Tuscarawas River watershed falls below normal, the Ohio River minor tributary Wheeling Creek remains below normal as reported here earlier this week.
As of this report, there are no active floods, no extreme high flows recorded in the reference network.
WT HAB Tracker from the satellite monitoring program of the NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science(NCCOS), Cyanobacteria Assessment Network (CyAN) and State sources where available
Lake Erie west basin
The latest upload from NCCOS was captured Oct 8 at surface wind speed 11.6 mph, this wind speed is still too high to make an accurate assessment of the HABs as they may be submerged. The Maumee Bay HAB seems to have cleared out from the Toledo and North Maumee Bay water, a band of HAB is back in Maumee Bay State Park, open water bloom two nm off shore and a localized bloom along shore west of Cedar Point, 100 thousand cells per ml. A band of HAB extends along the Ohio shore up to 2 nm wide from Cedar Point to Port Clinton.
Sandusky Bay HAB is visible in the inner bay area, widespread and high concentration 900 thousand cells per ml filling the inner bay from Pickerel Point to OH-269, extending 2 nm into the outer bay water east of OH-269. See the latest NCCOS image, here.
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