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10/7/2024

WT Staff

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October 7, 2024 updated 835 pm EDT

Tracking Category 5 Hurricane Milton, extremely serious threat to Florida

Hurricane Milton Special Advisory Number 11A
issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 7 pm CDT Mon Oct 07 2024

CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF MILTON HAS FALLEN TO A NEAR RECORD LOW...MILTON POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO FLORIDA AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ORDERS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS

At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Milton was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 90.4 West. Milton is moving toward the east near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is expected through tonight followed by a turn toward the east- northeast and northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Milton is forecast to move near or just north of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight and Tuesday, then cross the eastern Gulf of Mexico and approach the west coast of the Florida Peninsula on Wednesday.

Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 180 mph (285 km/h) with higher gusts. Milton is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. While fluctuations in intensity are expected, Milton is forecast to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through landfall in Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km).
Forecaster Pasch-Papin
North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs June 1 to November 30.

More information on Hurricane Milton, including forecast impact to land, here.

Streamflow Situation from the USGS network of streamflow gauges in Ohio
Sunny and clear today says Cleveland NWS cooling down to 40 overnight. No hazardous weather outlook for the week so far. Streamflows run an even mix of normal and below normal with two extreme low flows in central state. See brown tags on the map to the right for details.

The drought map is rating Tiffin River with severe hydrologic drought in the northwest with adjacent land area Lower Maumee River rated below normal. In the northeast, Grand River continues below normal. To the other side of the state divide, Ohio River minor tributary Wheeling Creek also remains below normal.
As of this report, there are no active floods, no extreme high flows reported.

WT HAB Tracker
from the satellite monitoring program of the NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science(NCCOS), Cyanobacteria Assessment Network (CyAN) and State sources where available

Lake Erie west basin
The latest upload from NCCOS is another clear image, captured October 6 at surface wind speed 23 mph. The Maumee Bay HAB has all but disappeared, a relatively small band no more than 1.5 nm wide extending from Toledo to North Maumee Bay at low concentration 100 thousand cells or less. This high wind speed can cause any HAB mat to become submerged, so it is possibly still present and out of our range to comprehend. A localized HAB along the east shore of Cedar Point National Wildlife Refuge, and a narrow band of HAB from Camp Perry to Port Clinton also match the low concentration for 100 thousand cells per ml. Portage River appears HAB free in this image.

Sandusky Bay HAB remains widespread at high concentration 900 thousand cells per ml from OH-269 to Cedar Point, becoming thin dispersed mats in inner bay area from Pickerel Point to OH-269. Muddy Creek Bay appears clear of HAB in this capture. See the latest NCCOS image, here.









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